Nate Silver’s blog said a Trump victory was more likely than the Cubs winning from 3-1 down

The Cubs won the World Series from 3-1 down

When Nate Silver’s blog said it, it was supposed to mean, this isn’t gonna happen.


Commentating on the Cubs going down 3-1 in the World Series to the Indians on Friday, a staffer on FiveThirtyEight, the site run by America’s polling wizard, wrote that the Cubs had a 15 percent chance, adding:

That’s a smaller chance than FiveThirtyEight’s election forecast model currently gives Donald Trump to win the White House.

Now, five days before the election, this just happened.